Why the Crypto Dip Is Over — And Why a Massive Rally May Be Imminent

What’s up guys! It’s Dan here with an urgent market update that could change how you approach the next few weeks in crypto. The recent dip? Likely done. And what’s coming next could be an explosive rally — one that mirrors the final melt-up of 2021 and potentially even outpaces it. Let’s jump into the charts and the reasons why.

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📈 Total Crypto Market Cap: History Rhymes

Let’s start with the total crypto market cap on the weekly chart. If you compare the current price action with late 2021, it’s almost uncanny:

  • In both instances, we saw a mid-year dip, followed by a bullish engulfing candle.

  • In 2021, this pattern led to a parabolic rally into year-end.

  • Now in 2025, the same pattern is forming — we’ve even tagged the $3T level and bounced hard.

📊 Probability outlook: I’d assign a 70% chance that we rally from here and only a 30% chance that we see one final leg down to retest support.


💥 Bitcoin: Breaking an 8-Year Trendline?

Zooming into Bitcoin on the weekly chart, here’s what gets me excited:

  • A bullish engulfing candle just like we saw pre-blowoff in 2021.

  • BTC is pressing against a long-term resistance trendline that stretches back eight years.

  • This setup mirrors silver’s chart in the 70s–80s, where once price broke long-term resistance, it went vertical.

👉 Back then, three billionaires cornered the silver market by buying ~1/3 of tradable supply.

Today? Institutions are doing the same with BTC. Between ETFs, treasuries, and lost coins, ~1/3 of Bitcoin’s freely tradable supply is being hoovered up.

➡️ A supply squeeze is brewing, and a massive breakout above $111,000 could trigger a vertical move.


📉 DXY Crashing = Altcoin Season Loading

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is your secret weapon for timing altcoin season.

  • Every major altcoin rally — 2017, 2021 — has coincided with a second leg lower in DXY.

  • Right now, DXY is breaking down again. The chart screams bearish — a bear flag, bearish engulfing, you name it.

  • If DXY breaks down to 94–95, expect altcoins to explode.

This is already being reflected in the “Others” chart — market cap of all coins outside the top 10. It’s breaking above key resistance and could confirm a long-term breakout with just another 10–20% upside.


💎 Why Altcoins Have Lagged — And Why That’s Bullish

You’re not imagining it — altcoins have been sluggish in 2024 and early 2025. Why?

  • Retail investors front-ran the cycle after the BTC spot ETF approvals in early 2024.

  • When new retail didn’t show up fast enough, they sold or de-risked.

  • That sets us up perfectly now because most retail is offside.

➡️ That means they are now net buyers, not sellers.

Couple that with new retail inflows (especially if Trump wins), and you’ve got a powder keg forming.


🔥 Ethereum, Solana, SUI — What the Majors Are Signaling

These three blockchains carry most of the altcoin ecosystem — watching them gives us a front-row seat to what’s next.

ETH

  • Holding above the daily Bollinger Band moving average.

  • Just retested the weekly mid-band as support.

  • With ETHCC this week, we could see a bullish catalyst.

Solana

  • Strongest of the majors.

  • Bullish engulfing on the weekly and pressing above key levels on the daily.

  • Spot SOL ETF rumors are adding fuel.

SUI

  • A little weaker, but showing bottoming behavior.

  • Reclaiming Bollinger Band levels — potential reversal in progress.


📊 Final Takeaways: The Setup Is Almost Too Perfect

Total Market Cap looks like 2021 pre-meltup.
Bitcoin is pressing long-term resistance with ETF-driven supply squeeze.
Altcoins are set to move as DXY breaks down.
Retail is on the sidelines, likely to re-enter en masse.
ETH, SOL, SUI charts are flashing green.

And here’s the kicker:

You don’t need rate cuts or QE for altcoin season.
2017 saw a full alt season while the Fed was raising rates and doing QT.

All you need is a falling dollar — and that’s exactly what we’ve got right now.


🛠 Bonus: How to Position Yourself

If you’re looking to take advantage of the setup, here’s what I recommend:

  • Track the DXY like your life depends on it.

  • Watch for confirmation of breakout on the Others chart.

  • Stay glued to ETH, SOL, and SUI — they’re your proxy for altcoin health.

  • Consider setting limit buys or DCAing into quality altcoins before the breakout hits full force.


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